Day/Date: Sunday, September 16, 2012 - Time: 3:15 PM CDT
ATLANTIC BASIN ACTIVITY:
Atlantic Basin Enhanced Infrared Satellite Image
Atlantic Basin Activity Map
Cat. '1' Hurricane 'Nadine'
GEOS Enhanced Infrared 'Rainbow' Image
Hurricane Wind Speed Probabilities - Next 120 Hours
50-Knot Tropical Storm Wind Speed Probabilities - Next 120 Hours
Tropical Storm Wind Speed Probabilities - Next 120 Hours
Coastal Watches/Warnings And 3-Day Track Forecast Cone - Next 72 Hours
Surface Wind Field Area
Cumulative Wind History
Category'1' 'hurricane Nadine' remains the only tropical system in the Atlantic Basin with winds around 80 mph as it races Eastward along a brisk 50 knot Westerly jet stream .Sea surface temperatures in the vicinity of H1 'Nadine' are around 80 degrees F which is minimal for supporting a tropical cyclone, while the upper-level wind shear is near 30 knots. Based on this data, H1 'Nadine' is expected to remain at about the same strength for the next day or two. By the middle of the work week, H1 'Nadine' will approach a large surface high-pressure system that will be positioned off to it's North. The high will act as a road block to h1 'Nadine', so a significant slowing trend is anticipated beginning Tuesday night or Wednesday. H1 'Nadine' will be approaching the Azores islands by the middle or latter part of the week. Expect a few gusty showers to impact some of the Islands as early as Wednesday, with a better chance for rain and wind arriving for the latter and end of the week. A tricky and blocky upper-level pattern will ensue toward the end of the week into next weekend. This complex pattern will lead to H1 'Nadine' meandering in the vicinity of the Azores into next weekend.
Stay tuned here for info on any new Atlantic Basin weather activity.
Please don't forget that when these tropical systems form - whether they remain a tropical depression or develop into a named tropical storm or Category ‘1’ through ‘5’ hurricane, each of these systems will ALWAYS BE A RAIN EVENT! When the term ‘hurricane’ is written or spoken, it’s human nature to think only of the wind speeds they contain but don’t overlook the fact that there is always torrential rainfall associated with any type of tropical system!
If you'd like to have a 2012 Atlantic Basin Hurricane Tracking Chart, click on the link below to open it up and print it out. (You'll need Adobe Reader installed on your PC in order to view and print out this Hurricane Tracking Chart). Click on this link - Adobe Reader X (10.1.3) - to install Adobe's free Reader software which is currently version 10.1.3. After you have downloaded and installed Adobe Reader X (10.1.3), open up the program and click on 'Help' in it's Tool Bar to find the 'Check For Updates...' entry. Checking for updates here will help keep the latest version of this software installed on your computer.